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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.24vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44+0.25vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.30-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.32+0.53vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.27-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-2.43-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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3.25Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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3.43Michigan Technological University0.300.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.2Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 21.6% | 22.2% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 35.8% | 30.3% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 15.8% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Nick Myneni | 15.4% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 22.5% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 0.9% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 44.7% | 22.0% |
| George Warfel | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 26.0% | 18.8% | 4.1% |
| Phillip Thoma | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 16.1% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.