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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.18+0.24vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.44+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-1.32+1.54vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.30-1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-2.43+0.51vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.27-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Saint Thomas0.600.2%1st Place
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2.24University of Wisconsin1.180.4%1st Place
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3.21Northwestern University0.440.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.44Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Saint Thomas-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.1Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 21.3% | 21.8% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 36.5% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 16.9% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Sparber | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 45.8% | 21.7% |
| Nick Myneni | 13.0% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Phillip Thoma | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 16.7% | 73.0% |
| George Warfel | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 28.6% | 17.9% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.