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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+7.70vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.77vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+2.46vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.42+3.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.42vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10+2.35vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Texas1.01+4.73vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.57+1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.09+0.89vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.60-1.51vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.22-1.81vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-5.23vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-5.25vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-6.94vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.22-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Boston College2.026.5%1st Place
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5.77Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University3.1513.6%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University2.428.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College2.386.8%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.9%1st Place
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9.35Jacksonville University2.105.7%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston2.497.2%1st Place
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13.73University of Texas1.011.5%1st Place
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11.99North Carolina State University1.572.5%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.8%1st Place
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12.89University of Wisconsin1.092.4%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida1.603.5%1st Place
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12.19Old Dominion University1.222.1%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.984.0%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Miami2.323.5%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Matias Martin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 26.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Abe Weston | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% |
| Pierce Brindley | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.