Race 10A

neisa-coed-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Fred Strammer 9.1% 9.7% 9.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% 4.8% 6.1% 3.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Alan Palmer 9.7% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 7.2% 8.8% 7.3% 5.8% 7.5% 6.6% 6.8% 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Cy Thompson 12.7% 10.1% 10.2% 11.6% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 6.4% 4.8% 3.6% 2.7% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Matthew Carmody 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 4.2% 4.8% 4.3% 7.1% 4.1% 6.8% 6.9% 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.2% 4.4%
Ben Greenfield 5.0% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% 4.0% 1.2%
Tyler Sinks 13.1% 11.5% 13.2% 10.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.1% 7.0% 5.6% 3.6% 4.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Viktor Bolmgren 1.1% 2.0% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 1.5% 2.8% 3.9% 3.2% 5.4% 7.1% 9.5% 21.5% 33.1%
Coleman Bowen 3.6% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 6.1% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 6.8% 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 10.2% 10.8% 8.2% 3.6%
Joseph Morris 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 8.0% 7.1% 9.1% 7.2% 6.8% 7.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9%
Sam Williams 5.6% 6.0% 5.9% 4.8% 6.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.6% 9.3% 9.1% 7.7% 7.8% 6.0% 6.6% 3.9% 0.9%
William Haeger 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.6% 5.1% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 8.9% 6.6% 7.1% 3.0% 0.7%
Atlantic Brugman 4.4% 3.9% 4.2% 3.2% 7.9% 4.9% 5.8% 7.0% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 10.5% 7.8% 3.8%
Samuel Ingham 9.1% 11.2% 9.9% 10.5% 9.0% 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 6.4% 6.1% 5.8% 3.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Eamon Glackin 3.7% 4.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 10.8% 8.2% 3.9%
Peter Pellegrini 5.2% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 6.7% 5.9% 8.0% 9.1% 6.9% 9.7% 7.3% 5.3% 1.8%
David Pierce 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 8.8% 20.1% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.