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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.39+6.91vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+6.29vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+2.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+5.72vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.35+2.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-1.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.33vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.70+2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.41-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.93+0.78vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.73-2.59vs Predicted
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121.42-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.02-0.17vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.98-5.47vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.68-1.88vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.90-4.58vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Dartmouth College2.397.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.205.3%1st Place
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5.11Stanford University3.1514.7%1st Place
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9.72Boston College1.973.7%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.357.4%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.1816.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy2.579.2%1st Place
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10.91Jacksonville University1.703.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii2.416.9%1st Place
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10.78University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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8.41Webb Institute1.737.1%1st Place
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11.631.422.5%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.1%1st Place
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13.83University of South Florida1.021.3%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.983.6%1st Place
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14.12Northwestern University0.680.9%1st Place
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12.42University of Southern California0.901.9%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 25.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 27.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| Maks Groom | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.