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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+3.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+3.99vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.22+7.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.90+0.37vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16-1.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.37+2.10vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-1.48vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.01-1.13vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.13-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.77vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.50vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-1.63vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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10.27Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Vermont0.900.1%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University1.160.2%1st Place
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8.1Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.52University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.87McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.37Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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10.77University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.37Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Luke Quine | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 17.7% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| James Sullivan | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 18.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 33.0% |
| Kate Myler | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.