← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire1.02+3.09vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.16+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.90+1.34vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.18vs Predicted
-
5Williams College-1.22+5.37vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire0.39-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University-0.37+0.66vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.01-1.11vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.67+2.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.11vs Predicted
-
11Bentley University-0.13-3.68vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.27vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-4.80vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.09University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
-
3.66Salve Regina University1.160.2%1st Place
-
4.34University of Vermont0.900.2%1st Place
-
6.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
-
10.37Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
-
5.83University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
7.66Northeastern University-0.370.1%1st Place
-
6.89McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
11.47Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
-
7.32Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.73University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 20.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Quine | 15.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.7% |
| James Sullivan | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 31.9% |
| Kate Myler | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 21.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.