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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+2.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+3.85vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.13+4.14vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.01+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.90-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02-1.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.39-2.37vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.58vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.37-2.12vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.22-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.40vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-1.87vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Salve Regina University1.160.2%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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7.14Bentley University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.82McGill University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Vermont0.900.1%1st Place
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4.14University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.63University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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10.58University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.24Williams College-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.13Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 20.9% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dane Phippen | 5.4% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Luke Quine | 13.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 17.6% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| James Sullivan | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% |
| Kate Myler | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 23.2% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.