Race 1B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Schuh 22.1% 19.6% 20.7% 13.2% 11.4% 5.4% 5.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 24.4% 24.8% 13.9% 13.8% 9.8% 7.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 16.1% 14.9% 16.5% 14.5% 13.2% 11.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Colston Howell 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 9.1% 11.1% 11.3% 13.2% 14.0% 13.9% 6.6% 3.3% 0.5%
Alex Von Lehe 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 6.7% 9.2% 12.3% 13.2% 22.1% 13.9% 7.5%
Sam Harris 9.7% 10.9% 9.9% 13.5% 13.1% 13.1% 12.2% 8.7% 5.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Marshall Rodes 4.8% 5.9% 6.4% 7.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.7% 14.7% 13.9% 9.4% 4.2% 0.9%
Sylvia Burns 9.1% 8.1% 11.2% 10.1% 11.2% 12.5% 12.7% 11.5% 8.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Robert Caldwell 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.3% 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 12.0% 16.9% 20.6% 18.9% 6.5%
Bronwyn Jensen 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.9% 12.6% 22.9% 49.6%
Tiernan O'Kane 5.5% 4.3% 7.4% 9.2% 9.2% 10.4% 14.2% 13.1% 14.5% 8.2% 2.6% 1.4%
Olyn Jacobson 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 4.2% 6.4% 13.7% 32.3% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.