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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.83+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.35+1.96vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.24-1.81vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.25+0.36vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.12-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.34vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.18-2.68vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-2.62-1.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.27-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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4.96University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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3.19Bentley University1.240.2%1st Place
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6.36McGill University-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.5Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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8.66University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.32Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
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10.79Middlebury College-2.620.0%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 23.0% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Schuh | 23.5% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colston Howell | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Sylvia Burns | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Robert Caldwell | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 16.5% | 7.1% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 5.6% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 24.6% | 51.5% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 30.8% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.