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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+2.82vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.63+5.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71+0.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+1.53vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78+0.85vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-0.88vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-2.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.84-3.19vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43+0.86vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-4.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.25-3.93vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.94vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.59-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.16Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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13.86Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| John Stokes | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 36.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 8.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| John Giuliano | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 18.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.