Race 3B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Olivia Lowthian 24.3% 21.4% 19.4% 12.5% 10.1% 7.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 14.7% 15.9% 15.9% 13.6% 13.7% 11.2% 8.6% 3.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
David Schuh 23.8% 21.0% 15.9% 14.2% 12.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 8.2% 10.5% 12.8% 12.5% 14.3% 14.3% 10.0% 8.4% 5.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Alex Von Lehe 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.3% 8.7% 10.6% 16.8% 19.4% 15.8% 6.7%
Marshall Rodes 5.0% 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 13.3% 16.4% 13.9% 9.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Sylvia Burns 7.9% 9.5% 9.3% 12.6% 10.6% 12.5% 14.0% 10.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Colston Howell 6.8% 5.8% 6.9% 8.9% 9.4% 11.3% 12.7% 15.5% 12.3% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9%
Olyn Jacobson 0.9% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 7.3% 15.2% 30.7% 32.0%
Robert Caldwell 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.8% 2.9% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 15.0% 23.4% 17.7% 7.7%
Tiernan O'Kane 5.0% 4.9% 6.9% 8.7% 9.6% 11.7% 13.4% 14.5% 13.7% 7.9% 2.8% 0.9%
Bronwyn Jensen 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 10.4% 24.3% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.