Race 4B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sam Harris 9.0% 9.3% 10.1% 13.1% 13.9% 13.6% 13.0% 8.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 6.4% 8.4% 11.5% 9.0% 11.8% 13.4% 14.5% 10.8% 8.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 25.6% 20.4% 18.0% 15.4% 9.1% 6.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
David Schuh 22.4% 23.9% 17.5% 14.4% 8.6% 7.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bronwyn Jensen 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 3.6% 5.8% 10.2% 22.0% 50.7%
Gavin Sanborn 16.1% 15.2% 15.8% 14.1% 14.2% 10.0% 7.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Olyn Jacobson 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 3.3% 4.6% 7.9% 14.9% 29.3% 31.8%
Marshall Rodes 4.9% 5.8% 5.7% 8.2% 10.2% 9.6% 12.1% 13.4% 14.6% 10.0% 4.2% 1.3%
Colston Howell 4.4% 5.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.0% 12.7% 13.2% 14.5% 11.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Tiernan O'Kane 5.5% 6.2% 6.1% 9.3% 10.2% 12.2% 13.8% 14.8% 11.3% 6.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Robert Caldwell 2.2% 1.4% 2.5% 2.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 9.9% 15.5% 21.8% 19.7% 9.3%
Alex Von Lehe 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 6.3% 8.1% 10.9% 17.2% 21.3% 15.9% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.