← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.31+2.08vs Predicted
-
3Bentley University1.24+0.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.83-0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.35+0.02vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.12-0.49vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-0.25-0.67vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.42vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College-2.62+0.75vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-4.79vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.27-1.66vs Predicted
-
13Williams College-1.18-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
-
3.2Bentley University1.240.2%1st Place
-
3.95University of Vermont0.830.2%1st Place
-
5.02University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
-
5.51Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
-
6.33McGill University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
6.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
-
10.75Middlebury College-2.620.0%1st Place
-
6.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
-
10.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.270.0%1st Place
-
8.42Williams College-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 22.9% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Schuh | 22.9% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 16.8% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Colston Howell | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Caldwell | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 16.5% | 8.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Bronwyn Jensen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 25.7% | 47.4% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 28.1% | 36.9% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.