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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.31+7.00vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.13+0.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24-0.52vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.51+3.51vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.54-3.30vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17+0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida0.67-2.75vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.75+0.29vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.36-1.55vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.24-7.52vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.68-2.70vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-9.17vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.54-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.06University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.15Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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5.48Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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10.51Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.7North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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11.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.45Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.48Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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11.3The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.83The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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12.97Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.