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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.02vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+1.48vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.24+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.31+4.14vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.24-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.13-2.22vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.36+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida0.67-2.91vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.21vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.51-1.34vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-6.97vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.68-2.74vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-3.76vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.54-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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5.02University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.57Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.57Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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10.22Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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9.79Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.66Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.03The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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11.26The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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12.97Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 19.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 44.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.