← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.74+3.12vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.24+3.37vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.13+2.69vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel1.11+1.84vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.37+0.20vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College-0.17+3.70vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.24-1.53vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.54-3.30vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.24-3.53vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-0.68+1.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida0.67-3.75vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College-1.54+1.02vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami-0.31-2.70vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-0.36-3.62vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-3.75vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College-0.51-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.37University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.84The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
-
5.2University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
9.7Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
5.47Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.7North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
5.47Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
11.12The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
-
13.02Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
-
10.3University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.38Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.59Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 18.8% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.