← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.13+4.39vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.37+2.78vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College-1.54+9.49vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.24+1.16vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.24+0.23vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.54-1.62vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel1.11-1.49vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.24-2.84vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.74-5.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami-0.31-0.48vs Predicted
-
11Rollins College-0.51-0.89vs Predicted
-
12Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.27vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.36-3.10vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College-0.17-4.70vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel-0.68-4.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.81-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.39University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
4.78University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
12.49Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
-
5.16Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.23University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.38North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
5.51The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
-
5.16Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.97Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
-
9.52University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.11Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.73Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.9Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.3Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
10.54The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 30.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 18.3% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.