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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+2.74vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+0.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24+1.16vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24-1.85vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.36+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.31+0.58vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-1.54+2.58vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-1.83vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.81+0.19vs Predicted
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14Rollins College-0.51-3.93vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.68-4.53vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.24-10.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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4.74University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.88Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.61The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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9.66Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.58Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.9Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.07Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.47The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.16Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 17.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 18.7% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 20.7% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.