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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+3.43vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+3.11vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+4.61vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.24+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Central Florida0.67+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.31+3.66vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.24-2.07vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68+2.76vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.37-4.59vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.36-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24-6.05vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-6.60vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.30-4.93vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-3.11vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College-0.17-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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4.82North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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8.61Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.93Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.93Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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11.76The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.92Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.4The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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9.07Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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11.89Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 18.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.