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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+3.82vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.84+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92+1.53vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.25+2.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.92-3.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.10vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-4.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.81vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-0.11vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-5.63vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.59-2.63vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.63-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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13.89Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Taylor Canfield | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| John Stokes | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 36.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| John Giuliano | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 26.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.