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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.37+4.46vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+3.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+1.89vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.24+1.70vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-0.58vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+0.33vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.37+1.71vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17+2.25vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.31+0.75vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.13-4.70vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.68-0.29vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.36-1.91vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.94vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida0.67-7.37vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.30-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.89North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.42Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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6.33The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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8.71Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.9University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.3University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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11.71The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.09Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.06Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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8.79Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.5% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.