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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.13+5.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.39vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.17+7.20vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+1.86vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+3.68vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-1.00vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.24-1.14vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11-1.72vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.74-4.57vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.36+0.97vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.68+0.75vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.24-6.14vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.30-3.92vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.75-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida0.67-7.33vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.31-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.2Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.86University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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8.68Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.0North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.86Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.28The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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4.43Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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10.97Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.75The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.86Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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9.08Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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12.01Florida Institute of Technology-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Central Florida0.670.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Byrd | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.