← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.74+3.21vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.37+3.12vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.24+2.55vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.05vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.13+1.00vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.55+1.82vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College-0.17+2.95vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College0.37+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-0.36+1.53vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami-0.31+0.48vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.24-5.45vs Predicted
-
12The Citadel1.11-5.91vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.54-7.99vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College0.30-5.20vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel-0.68-3.58vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-1.81-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.12University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.55Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
7.05Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
6.0University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
7.82University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.95Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
8.38Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
10.53Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
-
5.55Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
6.09The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
-
5.01North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
-
8.8Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
-
11.42The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
13.6University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 19.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 60.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.