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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.15vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.24+2.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54+0.83vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-0.06vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+2.94vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.24-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.31+1.43vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.11-4.02vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.36-0.38vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.55-5.01vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.30-5.21vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.68-3.59vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.81-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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5.15University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.83North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.11Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.94University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.55Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.98The Citadel1.110.1%1st Place
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10.62Embry-Riddle University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.45Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
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8.79Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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11.41The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Naomi Sterlingsdottir | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.