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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.27+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.73+4.13vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-0.23vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.40+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51-0.71vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-0.87vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.88-2.23vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17-6.23vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.02-1.84vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+0.14vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.87+0.86vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.87-2.16vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.00-2.90vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-1.80-2.31vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.13University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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2.77Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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7.08The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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4.29University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.13Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.68The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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2.77Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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8.16Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.14Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.86Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.84Rollins College-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.1North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.69Rollins College-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Keswater | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 30.7% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 30.7% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 21.2% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 22.8% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.