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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+2.09vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.88+0.82vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.87+4.64vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.02+1.10vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.73-2.87vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.12vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.40-3.83vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.00-0.81vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.17-10.10vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-4.11vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.87-2.16vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-1.80-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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4.09University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.02Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.77University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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10.64Rollins College-0.870.0%1st Place
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8.1Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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7.69The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.13University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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11.12Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.17The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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11.19North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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2.9Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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9.89University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.84Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.63Rollins College-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 29.9% | 23.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.9% | 23.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 21.7% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.