← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.51+3.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami0.88+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.17-0.19vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.17-1.19vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.40+2.04vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.73+0.22vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.27-2.27vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.20-0.37vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College0.02-0.81vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-1.80+2.77vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College1.12-5.77vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-1.00-1.04vs Predicted
-
13Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-1.67vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.87-1.00vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.52-5.34vs Predicted
-
16Rollins College-0.87-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
-
5.68University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
-
2.81Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
-
2.81Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
-
7.04The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.22University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
-
4.73University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.63The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
-
8.19Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
-
12.77Rollins College-1.800.0%1st Place
-
5.23Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
10.96North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
-
11.33Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
-
13.0Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.66University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.57Rollins College-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 16.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.9% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 29.9% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 24.0% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 23.6% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.