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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.12+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+2.34vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-0.33vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.73+0.89vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.87+4.35vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+0.30vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+2.86vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17-6.33vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.68-0.22vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.02-3.16vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-1.80+0.55vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.40-6.03vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.87-1.20vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.00-4.37vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.34University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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2.67Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
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5.89University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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10.35Rollins College-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.3The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.86Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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2.67Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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9.78University of Miami-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.84Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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12.55Rollins College-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.97The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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12.8Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.63North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 12.2% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 31.6% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 17.1% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 31.6% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Engel | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 21.4% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.