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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+1.70vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.40+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.73+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.27+0.47vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12-0.09vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-3.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.51-3.05vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.20-0.75vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.87+1.33vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.00+0.69vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.02-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.68-2.19vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.87-0.15vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.07-3.00vs Predicted
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15Rollins College-1.80-2.45vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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6.61The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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4.47University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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4.91Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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2.7Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
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7.25The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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10.33Rollins College-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.69North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.85Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Miami-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.85Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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11.0Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.55Rollins College-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 32.4% | 24.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 32.4% | 24.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 15.1% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Weum | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Engel | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Campbell | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.