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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+9.89vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+5.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+0.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+1.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.50-1.93vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.84-0.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-4.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.63-3.50vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.43-0.31vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.25-4.18vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut2.59-3.83vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.37-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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11.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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4.85Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.79Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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13.69Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.82Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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10.48Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Canfield | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 33.5% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| John Giuliano | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 24.2% |
| William Hutchings | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.