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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+6.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.15+2.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+6.54vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+3.89vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.35+2.57vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98+3.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.87vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.39-1.45vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.73-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.24vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.93-1.02vs Predicted
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131.42-1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.41-6.79vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.70-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.90-3.82vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.02-3.23vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.68-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Harvard University2.458.1%1st Place
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4.9Stanford University3.1516.2%1st Place
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9.54Boston College1.974.6%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.206.9%1st Place
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7.57Tulane University2.357.7%1st Place
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9.42Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.578.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.397.8%1st Place
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8.53Webb Institute1.735.1%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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11.571.422.7%1st Place
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7.21University of Hawaii2.418.2%1st Place
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10.78Jacksonville University1.703.6%1st Place
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12.18University of Southern California0.902.4%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida1.021.5%1st Place
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14.05Northwestern University0.681.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Henry Lee | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 24.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.