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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.12+4.09vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+0.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+1.73vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.07+3.25vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.40+1.30vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51-3.84vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.02-0.59vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.07+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.73-4.64vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.00-0.69vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.87+0.39vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.55-7.02vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-5.03vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.83-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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5.73University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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8.25Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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7.3The Citadel0.400.1%1st Place
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7.91The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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4.16University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
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8.41Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.52Florida Institute of Technology-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.36University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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11.31North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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13.39Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.98University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.8Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 32.5% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 32.5% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 15.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.