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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.27+2.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-0.27vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.73+1.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-0.81vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.07+1.10vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.83+2.13vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.57vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.40-2.93vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.02-2.79vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.20-4.33vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.00-2.18vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.87-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.52-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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2.73Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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2.73Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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5.19Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.1Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.13Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.43Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.07The Citadel0.400.1%1st Place
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8.21Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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7.67The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.82North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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12.43Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 14.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 33.4% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 33.4% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 17.6% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.