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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+3.12vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+2.90vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.73+2.12vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.40+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27-1.23vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17-4.24vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.24vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.02-0.95vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.00+0.78vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20-3.31vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.07-3.92vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.83-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-4.50vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.87-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of South Florida1.510.2%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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2.76Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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6.12University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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7.12The Citadel0.400.0%1st Place
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4.77University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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2.76Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
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8.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College0.020.0%1st Place
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10.78North Carolina State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.69The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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8.08Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.44Rollins College-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.42Embry-Riddle University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 15.2% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 32.6% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Frank | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 32.6% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Montjoy | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Threeton | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Oakes | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 52.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.