Race 1A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 20.2% 17.2% 16.8% 17.2% 10.6% 9.0% 5.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fox 11.5% 14.3% 14.2% 13.1% 13.8% 11.1% 10.3% 6.4% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.6% 22.8% 15.9% 14.1% 10.0% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 6.1% 7.3% 10.0% 10.4% 12.2% 12.3% 14.0% 12.2% 7.5% 5.6% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.1% 2.6% 4.7% 3.2% 5.4% 6.1% 9.0% 11.4% 15.5% 17.9% 19.4% 2.7% 0.0%
Aidan Young 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 11.9% 17.1% 17.6% 13.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 15.0% 15.7% 15.7% 12.5% 11.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 7.3% 9.3% 10.9% 13.8% 14.6% 13.8% 9.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Aidan Young 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.3% 9.1% 11.9% 17.1% 17.6% 13.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Iain Shand 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 7.9% 10.8% 11.6% 14.4% 14.8% 14.6% 9.0% 1.2% 0.0%
kai rauch 6.9% 7.9% 8.4% 9.7% 11.8% 11.3% 13.3% 13.1% 9.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Damian Bianchi 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 1.0% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 2.2% 3.7% 7.8% 81.7% 0.0%
David Berson 1.4% 1.1% 1.9% 2.8% 1.7% 4.8% 3.4% 7.7% 10.7% 18.3% 35.4% 10.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.