Race 2A

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 13.9% 14.1% 13.2% 17.4% 12.3% 11.8% 8.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 6.2% 6.9% 9.3% 10.7% 12.1% 12.1% 12.7% 12.5% 9.2% 6.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
kai rauch 7.9% 5.8% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 11.7% 14.9% 13.7% 8.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.2% 21.6% 18.4% 13.3% 10.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.0% 21.2% 18.2% 11.6% 10.3% 8.0% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fox 12.9% 12.1% 14.2% 14.4% 12.3% 13.7% 9.2% 5.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.1% 11.2% 10.8% 14.9% 17.8% 11.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.4% 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 6.9% 7.8% 10.5% 15.2% 19.8% 17.9% 2.8% 0.0%
Aidan Young 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.1% 11.2% 10.8% 14.9% 17.8% 11.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 2.5% 4.6% 4.7% 6.0% 9.9% 9.7% 11.0% 14.6% 14.9% 13.0% 8.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Iain Shand 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 5.3% 7.7% 8.5% 10.5% 13.8% 16.0% 14.4% 10.0% 1.2% 0.0%
David Berson 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 3.9% 7.8% 10.7% 16.1% 38.1% 11.4% 0.0%
Damian Bianchi 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 3.8% 9.0% 80.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.