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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.98+3.93vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+1.42vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18+2.74vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.32+1.44vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03+1.08vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-2.31vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.18-1.26vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.77-6.02vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.40-3.80vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.65-2.53vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.41-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island0.980.1%1st Place
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4.42Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.47Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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7.74Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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7.44Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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8.08Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.69Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.74Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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3.98Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.2Hamilton College0.400.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.48Villanova University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 25.3% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| kai rauch | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 14.3% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.2% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Berson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 36.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Damian Bianchi | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 79.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.