Race 4A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
kai rauch 6.3% 7.1% 7.2% 10.4% 10.7% 12.0% 14.1% 12.2% 10.2% 6.5% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Fox 11.1% 15.2% 14.1% 13.5% 12.1% 11.7% 10.9% 5.9% 4.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 27.0% 21.0% 16.1% 14.7% 9.3% 6.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.6% 19.6% 18.4% 13.6% 10.8% 6.9% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 4.8% 6.6% 8.4% 10.1% 13.4% 14.1% 16.7% 13.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 15.4% 13.8% 14.5% 13.1% 15.7% 10.4% 7.8% 5.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 8.4% 11.1% 14.4% 18.6% 16.5% 4.6% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 4.9% 3.9% 5.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 14.9% 14.5% 7.7% 1.9% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 4.8% 6.6% 8.4% 10.1% 13.4% 14.1% 16.7% 13.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Iain Shand 2.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 7.8% 9.9% 11.6% 14.3% 15.7% 13.9% 9.5% 0.9% 0.0%
David Berson 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 3.8% 4.9% 7.0% 10.2% 17.6% 36.6% 9.8% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 6.0% 6.6% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 13.7% 11.1% 12.3% 10.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Damian Bianchi 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 9.5% 80.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.