Race 5A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brian Fox 11.1% 13.5% 13.2% 13.8% 13.0% 13.4% 9.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.3% 7.2% 10.7% 12.6% 14.9% 20.0% 11.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 15.3% 13.6% 14.2% 15.1% 14.2% 11.6% 7.4% 5.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 24.7% 24.6% 16.1% 13.3% 9.4% 7.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
kai rauch 5.8% 7.6% 8.8% 10.8% 10.0% 11.7% 13.9% 11.3% 9.7% 7.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 21.3% 17.6% 19.1% 13.0% 11.0% 7.9% 5.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 7.7% 8.0% 10.4% 9.6% 12.4% 11.0% 12.4% 11.5% 8.7% 5.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 5.2% 6.8% 8.2% 10.3% 16.4% 18.1% 18.3% 3.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.3% 7.2% 10.7% 12.6% 14.9% 20.0% 11.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 7.4% 9.1% 10.9% 11.2% 15.7% 13.3% 12.4% 8.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Iain Shand 4.0% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 6.7% 8.0% 12.1% 13.7% 17.1% 13.7% 9.9% 1.1% 0.0%
David Berson 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.0% 6.7% 10.7% 16.4% 37.5% 11.5% 0.0%
Damian Bianchi 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 9.0% 81.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.