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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+6.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.98+3.85vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+1.12vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.72vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-2.97vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32+0.30vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.11-4.57vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.65+0.38vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.18-2.25vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.03-2.93vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College0.40-4.60vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.41-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island0.980.1%1st Place
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4.12Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.72Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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4.45Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.03Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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7.3Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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3.43Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.75Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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8.07Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.4Hamilton College0.400.0%1st Place
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11.5Villanova University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| kai rauch | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.9% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 22.0% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 36.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Damian Bianchi | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 82.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.