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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Young 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 9.0% 13.8% 15.0% 18.2% 13.0% 2.1% 0.0%
kai rauch 5.4% 7.9% 8.9% 10.4% 10.7% 13.1% 13.9% 11.6% 10.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 14.7% 14.8% 15.0% 12.8% 15.7% 9.5% 8.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 6.2% 6.6% 10.8% 10.5% 12.0% 14.2% 12.2% 10.4% 8.9% 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Fox 11.7% 14.4% 14.3% 13.1% 12.3% 12.2% 10.0% 6.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 25.9% 22.5% 17.6% 11.9% 9.5% 7.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iain Shand 4.1% 4.0% 4.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 12.5% 11.6% 13.6% 14.8% 10.5% 2.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 22.0% 18.6% 16.6% 14.4% 10.2% 8.7% 5.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Berson 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 9.8% 12.0% 16.6% 36.3% 8.5% 0.0%
Aidan Young 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 9.0% 13.8% 15.0% 18.2% 13.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.4% 3.9% 2.3% 5.3% 4.5% 6.5% 8.9% 12.9% 14.2% 18.7% 17.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 3.2% 2.9% 4.4% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 11.6% 13.0% 15.4% 14.0% 10.2% 1.7% 0.0%
Damian Bianchi 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 3.9% 7.2% 82.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.