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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+3.38vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+0.95vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.34vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.02+5.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.98+0.70vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.46vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32+0.08vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-4.02vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.40-3.05vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.02-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.65-2.80vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-2.41-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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2.95Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.34Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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9.76Virginia Tech-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island0.980.1%1st Place
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5.54Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.1%1st Place
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7.08Drexel University0.320.0%1st Place
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3.98Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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7.8Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.95Hamilton College0.400.0%1st Place
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9.76Virginia Tech-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.35Villanova University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 24.6% | 24.3% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.4% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Corckran | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 35.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| kai rauch | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 9.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Corckran | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 35.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| David Berson | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 26.4% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Damian Bianchi | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 14.1% | 73.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.