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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.21+4.30vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.26+4.41vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.91vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.53vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-1.11vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-2.65vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.02-1.25vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.42+0.93vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-3.11vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.26-3.59vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.09-2.78vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.22-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.74-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.41Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.89Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.35Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.75Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.93Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.41Virginia Tech-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.22Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.76Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.0% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 23.2% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 26.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.