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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+2.35vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.21+3.26vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.43vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79-0.11vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.26+1.43vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81-2.15vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.42+1.85vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-0.02-2.29vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.26-2.57vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.41vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-4.98vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.09-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.74-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.26Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.89Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.43Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.85Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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8.85Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.71Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.43Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.59Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.5Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 22.0% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 15.8% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 26.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 13.1% | 69.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.