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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+2.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.81vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+0.23vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02+1.72vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.21+0.13vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.36vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.26-0.79vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.26-1.79vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.13vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.53vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.42-2.14vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.09-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.74-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.81Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.23Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.72Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.13Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.36Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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8.47Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.86Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.38Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 16.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.6% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 23.1% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 25.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 67.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.