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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.83vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.21+3.15vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+0.24vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.37vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79-1.14vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02-0.29vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.26-0.79vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.13vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.26-2.79vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.53vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.42-2.14vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.09-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.74-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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5.15Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.24Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.86Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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5.71Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.21Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.47Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.86Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.37Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 17.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 23.7% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 17.2% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 25.7% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 14.2% | 67.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.