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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+2.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.80vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.21+2.06vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08-0.73vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.02+0.75vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.99vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.26-0.83vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.74vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.26-2.83vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.22-1.53vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.42-2.11vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.09-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.74-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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3.8Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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5.06Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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3.27Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.75Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.17Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.17Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.47Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.89Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.37Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 23.1% | 21.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 67.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.