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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.90vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.85vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+3.40vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08-0.71vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.21+0.12vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.02-0.30vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.13vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.26-1.85vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.09-0.80vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.26-3.85vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.22-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.74-0.93vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-1.42-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.85Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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6.4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.29Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.12Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.7Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.15Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.2Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
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6.15Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
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8.46Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
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9.0Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 16.8% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 23.1% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 69.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 28.6% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.