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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+6.43vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.35+5.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.05vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15-0.15vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.41-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.93+2.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.39-1.65vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.50+1.30vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.97-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-1.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.34vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University0.68-0.09vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.90-2.77vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.55-5.65vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.02-3.20vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Harvard University2.457.2%1st Place
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7.6Tulane University2.357.8%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Naval Academy2.286.9%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University2.205.1%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University3.1515.7%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.736.5%1st Place
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6.95University of Hawaii2.418.7%1st Place
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10.89University of Miami1.933.5%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.398.3%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University1.503.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston College1.975.5%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.673.8%1st Place
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13.91Northwestern University0.681.5%1st Place
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12.23University of Southern California0.902.9%1st Place
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10.35Jacksonville University1.553.5%1st Place
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13.8University of South Florida1.021.7%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Erik Anderson | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bennett | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 27.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% |
| Matthew King | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 26.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.