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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.95vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+8.71vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+6.09vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.50+0.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+1.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30-0.46vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.49+0.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-1.81vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-3.94vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-3.37vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.25-3.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-7.72vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.43-3.48vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.59-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.28Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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13.52Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 31.0% |
| John Giuliano | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.