← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College-0.02+4.80vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.08+1.34vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.88vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.43vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.51-0.44vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.26+0.31vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.26-0.69vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.05vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.81-5.17vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-1.42-1.08vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University-1.22-2.52vs Predicted
-
12Villanova University-1.09-3.56vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-2.74-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.8Hamilton College-0.020.1%1st Place
-
3.34Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
3.88Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
-
6.43Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
-
4.56Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
-
6.31Virginia Tech-0.260.1%1st Place
-
6.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
3.83Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
-
8.92Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.48Drexel University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.44Villanova University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.06University of Delaware-2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 21.9% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 16.8% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Diaz | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 24.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 13.6% | 67.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.