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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+8.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09+4.20vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.75vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+3.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67-1.05vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45-1.31vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.77+4.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12-2.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.64-2.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-4.55vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.27-2.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-5.50vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-5.22vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.09-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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5.95Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.25Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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7.91Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.92Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.5Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 29.9% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| John Eastman | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Marina Garrido | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.